Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Villarreal		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.4	4.75	7
	1.42	4.75	7.5
	1.38	4.8	7.2
	1.42	4.86	7.78
	1.36	4.85	7.8
	1.43	4.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.84 ↓ (4.99)	7.45 ↓ (7.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
67.7%

Draw
19.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

18.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	5.6%	16.7%

Villarreal - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Villarreal is Qualified for Europa Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Villarreal has currently - 12, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (75%), has a good chance of semis (54%), has a chance of final (36%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Hapoel Beer Sheva has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a good chance of 3rd (51%), has a chance of knockout phase (18%), has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, importance 45, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarreal is certain favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Knee Injury) Moreno G. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Bareiro L. (Injury) Dadya O. (Injury) Tibi E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Capoue E. (Calf Injury) Pedraza A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.10.22	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Barcelona - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
17.10.22	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Austria Wien - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.10.22	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.10.22	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:4 ✺
17.10.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.10.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Lech Poznań - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Villarreal	1:2

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