The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 15.4%
Draw 21.2%
Manchester United 63.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.9%
21.2%
62.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
12.4%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-26.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.6%
3.3%
86.2%
Watford - Manchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Manchester United will win
(106 of 123 users predict this - 86.18%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.08% โ 92.28%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 6).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (19.57%), has project points - 34, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Man Utd has the most likely position - 4 (17.27%), has project points - 62, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (29%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Man Utd is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Man Utd is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 10-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.
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