Match Info

Date: 2 November 2021, Tuesday


	Atalanta		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	2.25
	2.85	3.7	2.25
	3.05	3.7	2.35
	2.9	3.65	2.32
	3.02	3.71	2.37
	2.9	3.7	2.25
	3.05	3.88	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.82)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
32.6%

Draw
25.9%

Manchester United
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

25.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

19.2%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	18.5%	56.5%

Atalanta - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 31 - 25%). Man Utd will win (votes: 70 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 47.8% – 65.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atalanta has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (24%), has a chance of 2nd (33%), has a chance of 3rd (29%), has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Man Utd has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (54%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%), has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
30.10.21	Atalanta - Lazio	2:2 ✺
27.10.21	Sampdoria - Atalanta	1:3 ✺
24.10.21	Atalanta - Udinese	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.21	Manchester United - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.21	Empoli - Atalanta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTLW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
30.10.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
24.10.21	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.21	Manchester United - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
16.10.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	Manchester United - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.10.21	Manchester United - Atalanta	3:2

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