Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 25

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Vinotinto		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.49	3.85	7.44
	1.45	3.84	7.28	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.41	4.2	6.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.45)	3.96 ↑ (3.95)	6.74 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
63.2%

Draw
23.2%

Leones del Norte
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

21.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vinotinto - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vinotinto: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Ushina K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.24	Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Guayaquil City - Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	Vinotinto - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
27.07.24	Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.07.24	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.08.24	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
06.08.24	Manta - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Leones del Norte - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
25.07.24	Vargas Torres - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.07.24	Leones del Norte - Mushuc Runa	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.07.24	Leones del Norte - Vinotinto	2:3
13.03.24	Vinotinto - Leones del Norte	4:1

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