Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping
World	Fanatiz


	Guayaquil City		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.97	3.18	4.38
	1.86	3.18	4.23	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.92	3.13	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.59)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	4.08 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
48.4%

Draw
29.2%

Vinotinto
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Guayaquil City - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vinotinto will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Monti Azpiazu R. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Monti Azpiazu R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 2, Caicedo J. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Rodriguez Y. ⚽,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Guayaquil City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guayaquil City is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guayaquil City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guayaquil City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.08.24	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	3:0 ✺
25.07.24	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
17.07.24	Guayaquil City - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Manta - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
02.07.24	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWTW
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
31.07.24	Vinotinto - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
27.07.24	Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.07.24	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Vinotinto - Manta	6:2 ✺
11.07.24	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
27.06.24	Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	1:0
08.05.24	Guayaquil City - Vinotinto	0:2

Upcoming Matches