The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 48.6%
Draw 28.1%
Fortaleza 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
26.4%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
25.3%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas 25. Caca 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 83. Jamerson 36. Luan Candido 10. Matheuzinho 13. Ramon 91. Rene 88. Ze Vitor
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 2. Britez E. 18. Fuentes G. 4. Luan Freitas 3. Lucas Gazal 88. Lucas Sasha 32. Luiz Fernando 13. Mauricio Junior 9. Miritello J. B. 75. Rodriguinho 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 79. Renato Kayzer 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 55. Ze Breno
33. Kaua Rocha 99. Kayke 10. Lucas Crispim 19. Lucas Emanoel 38. Lucca Prior 22. Mailton 77. Paulo Baya 5. Pierre 7. Pochettino T. 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 31. Welliton
Coaches
Jair Ventura
Thiago Carpini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
41', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mauricio Junior ↓, Mailton ↑,
63', Ze Vitor ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
68', Tarzia D. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Emmanuel Martinez ⚽,
75', Luiz Fernando ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
75', Rodriguinho ↓, Ryan ↑,
79', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
83', Luan Freitas ↓, Welliton ↑,
84', Matheuzinho ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
84', Rene ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
88', Lucas Gazal ↓, Kayke ↑,
89', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
90+2', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4.
Vitória is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Vitória is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).