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Current Win Probability
Notts County 65.9%
Draw 20.8%
Alfreton Town 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
19.3%
11.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.1%
19.8%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
6.7%
13.3%
Notts County - Alfreton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. 5. Platt M. 33. Abbott G. 18. Palmer M. (C) 6. Hinchy J. 2. Gordon K. 14. Brown J. 29. Jatta A. 19. Martin J.
1. Willis G. (G) 2. Clackstone J. 3. Hunt M. 6. Wiley D. (C) 23. Newall N. 8. Cantrill G. 4. Lund A. 10. Waldock L. 7. Whitehouse B. 9. Day J. 14. Abbey J.
Substitutes
45. Adiefeh D. 44. Cisse M. 24. Cundy R. 46. Gill C. 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 49. Muir K. 40. Reynolds R. 21. Slocombe S. (G)
5. Anson A. 13. Askew J. (G) 22. Fewster B. 18. Hinton T. 12. Perritt H. 15. Salam A. 11. Salmon L. 17. Watson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Whitehouse B. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Waldock L. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Platt M. ⚽,
42', Gordon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Bedeau J. (A),
62', 3 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
68', Platt M. ↓, McDonald R. ↑,
68', Martin J. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
68', Lund A. ↓, Perritt H. ↑,
68', Abbey J. ↓, Salmon L. ↑,
74', Palmer M. 🟨,
76', Whitehouse B. ↓, Fewster B. ↑,
81', Ness L. ↓, Cundy R. ↑,
81', Jatta A. ↓, Reynolds R. ↑,
82', Wiley D. ↓, Anson A. ↑,
83', Cantrill G. 🟨,
85', 4 - 1, Brown J. (Pen),
90', 5 - 1, Brown J. ⚽,
90+1', Brown J. ↓, Muir K. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3.
Recent matches Notts County is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alfreton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Notts County is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.8:0.7).
Watch
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Bass A. (G) 
Bedeau J. 
Brown J. 
Jatta A. 
Macari L. 
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