Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Warta Poznań		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.58
	5	4	1.62	Watch
	5.2	3.8	1.59
	5.28	3.77	1.64	Watch
	5	3.75	1.55
	5.21	3.8	1.55	Watch
	5	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.34)	3.82 ↑ (3.61)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
18.2%

Draw
24.1%

Zagłębie Lubin
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

25.1%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.1%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Wojcinowicz T. 27. Przybylko K. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 20. Szeliga B. 15. Kopczynski M. (C) 8. Norkowski L. 29. Mackowiak M. 10. Zurawski M. 7. Gaska D. 9. Firlej M.	1. Buric J. (G) 2. Kopacz B. 25. Nalepa M. 33. Jach J. 13. Grzybek M. 6. Makowski T. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 17. Wdowiak M. 18. Radwanski A. 23. Kusztal P. 9. Sejk V.
Substitutes
21. Adamski R. 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Markov I. 26. Michalski K. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 17. Sarbinowski S. 5. Tkachuk Y. 77. Walus F.	15. Adamczyk H. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 30. Hladun D. (G) 27. Kludka B. 5. Lawniczak A. 55. Mata L. 7. Mroz M. 21. Regula M. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Klepczarek P.	Wlodarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Grzybek M. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Grzybek M. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Firlej M. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
46', Szeliga B. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
52', Makowski T. 🟨,
56', Zurawski M. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
64', Sejk V. ↓, Mata L. ↑,
64', Grzybek M. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
66', Kopczynski M. ↓, Tkachuk Y. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Nalepa M. ⚽,
73', Gryszkiewicz A. ↓, Bartkowski J. ↑,
76', Radwanski A. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
76', Wdowiak M. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
82', Dabrowski D. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
87', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Jach J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Mieszko Gniezno - Warta Poznań	1:6 ✺
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:4 ✺
28.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLT
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.10.24	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
02.04.24	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1
24.09.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	1:0
31.03.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	0:0
09.09.22	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	2:2
18.03.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	0:4
25.09.21	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	0:1

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