The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Aston Villa 57.9%
Draw 24.6%
Watford 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
24.7%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.1%
20.4%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
13.3%
13.3%
Aston Villa - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
105 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 77 - 73.3%). Watford will win (votes: 14 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 64.8% – 81.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Aston Villa has the most likely position - 12 (15.63%), has project points - 47, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 20 (33.7%), has project points - 29, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality65, small importance23, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1.
Recent matches Aston Villa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Watford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Watch
#ad
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
