The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 26.5%
Draw 29.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
28.9%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
21.6%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brighton & Hove Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
23.5%
53.1%
Watford - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 19 - 23.5%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 43 - 53.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 42.2% โ 64%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).
Watford has the most likely position - 20 (26.38%), has project points - 30, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Brighton & Hove has the most likely position - 9 (15.02%), has project points - 53, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Brighton & Hove is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brighton & Hove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Watford have a series of guest games.
Brighton & Hove will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Watch
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