Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Watford		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.5	1.36	Watch
	8.72	4.89	1.36	Watch
	9.31	4.99	1.36
	8.88	4.8	1.37	Watch
	9	4.8	1.36
	8.7	4.95	1.36	Watch
	8.72	4.89	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.98 ↑ (6.56)	4.83 ↑ (4.51)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
10.6%

Draw
19.7%

Leeds United
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

21%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

20.5%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Watford - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Selvik E. (G) 45. Andrews R. 25. Abankwah J. 6. Pollock M. 2. Ngakia J. 10. Louza I. 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 39. Kayembe E. 8. Chakvetadze G. 20. Doumbia M.	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 44. Gruev I. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
23. Bond J. (G) 7. Ince T. 4. Keben K. 37. Larouci Y. 22. Morris J. 53. Nabizada A. 52. Ramirez-Espain L. 3. Sierralta F. 11. Vata R.	25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 29. Gnonto W. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 8. Rothwell J. 33. Schmidt I. 5. Struijk P.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, James D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, James D. ⚽, Piroe J. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Solomon M. ⚽, Firpo J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Doumbia M. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
59', Sissoko M. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
60', Ngakia J. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
62', 0 - 4, Piroe J. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
72', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Nabizada A. ↑,
77', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
77', Solomon M. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
80', Pollock M. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
81', Piroe J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
81', Tanaka A. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
87', Ampadu E. ↓, Struijk P. ↑,

Preview

Boca Juniors in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Toros del Chiriqui has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toros del Chiriqui could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 175:134 (average 87.5:67).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 92:71

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
08.02.25	Sunderland - Watford	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Watford - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Coventry City - Watford	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Derby County - Watford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLLW
- Leeds United
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Leeds United - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
05.02.25	Coventry City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Leeds United - Cardiff City	7:0 ✺
27.01.25	Burnley - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Leeds United - Norwich City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.10.24	Leeds United - Watford	2:1
29.03.24	Watford - Leeds United	2:2
23.09.23	Leeds United - Watford	3:0
English Premier League
09.04.22	Watford - Leeds United	0:3
02.10.21	Leeds United - Watford	1:0
English FA Cup
20.02.16	Watford - Leeds United	1:0
English League Championship
28.02.15	Leeds United - Watford	2:3

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