Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	ESPN 3
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Sunderland		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6.5
	1.44	4.69	6.9	Watch
	1.45	4.72	7.24
	1.46	4.55	6.93	Watch
	1.44	4.4	7
	1.46	4.55	6.8	Watch
	1.44	4.69	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	4.58 ↑ (3.86)	6.82 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and English League Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
65.4%

Draw
20.7%

Watford
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Sunderland - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 10. Roberts P. 20. Abdul Samed S. 28. Le Fee E. 18. Isidor W.	33. Selvik E. (G) 45. Andrews R. 25. Abankwah J. 6. Pollock M. 37. Larouci Y. 10. Louza I. 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 39. Kayembe E. 8. Chakvetadze G. 20. Doumbia M.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 5. Ballard D. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 55. Middlemas B. 21. Moore S. (G) 36. Poveda I. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.	49. Adu Poku M. 23. Bond J. (G) 7. Ince T. 4. Keben K. 22. Morris J. 61. Nabizada A. 2. Ngakia J. 52. Ramirez-Espain L. 3. Sierralta F.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, O'Nien L. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
31', Doumbia M. 🟨,
32', Cirkin D. 🟨,
35', Isidor W. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Dele-Bashiru T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Louza I. ⚽, Kayembe E. (A),
59', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
59', Roberts P. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
61', Larouci Y. ↓, Ngakia J. ↑,
64', Le Fee E. 🟨,
72', Rigg C. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
80', Mepham C. 🟨,
81', Doumbia M. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
84', Mepham C. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
85', Sissoko M. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Cirkin D. ⚽, Isidor W. (A),
90+6', Poveda I. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1.

Recent matches Sunderland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Watford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sunderland is certain favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Browne A. (Broken Leg) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Watson T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Bachmann D. (Ankle Injury) Bayo V. (Red Card) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Vata R. (Illness) Wiley C. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
03.02.25	Middlesbrough - Sunderland	2:3 ✺
25.01.25	Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
21.01.25	Derby County - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Sunderland - Stoke City	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWTL
- Watford FC
English League Championship
01.02.25	Watford - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Coventry City - Watford	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Derby County - Watford	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Cardiff City - Watford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
28.09.24	Watford - Sunderland	2:1
27.04.24	Watford - Sunderland	1:0
04.10.23	Sunderland - Watford	2:0
29.04.23	Sunderland - Watford	2:2
17.09.22	Watford - Sunderland	2:2
English Premier League
01.04.17	Watford - Sunderland	1:0
17.12.16	Sunderland - Watford	1:0

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