Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Sunderland		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.7
	2.52	3.46	2.72	Watch
	2.6	3.47	2.78
	2.56	3.42	2.72	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.75
	2.54	3.45	2.69	Watch
	2.52	3.46	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.47)	3.43 (3.43)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

Watch this match and English League Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
37.4%

Draw
27.7%

Middlesbrough
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	20%	26.7%

Sunderland - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 12. Mayenda E. 14. Mundle R.	1. Dieng S. (G) 12. Ayling L. (C) 25. Edmundson G. 5. Clarke M. 30. Neto Borges 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 11. Jones I. 22. Conway T. 20. Azaz F. 9. Latte Lath E.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 5. Ballard D. 33. Hjelde L. F. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 15. Rusyn N. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 40. Watson T.	4. Barlaser D. 31. Brynn S. (G) 10. Burgzorg D. 15. Dijksteel A. 50. Doak B. 17. Hamilton M. 41. Hunt H. 49. McCabe L. 8. McGree R.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Carrick M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Ankle Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Forss M. (Muscle Injury) Fry D. (Leg Injury) Howson J. (Leg Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Smith T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
14.09.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sunderland	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Portsmouth - Sunderland	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Sunderland - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Preston North End - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
14.09.24	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Cardiff City - Middlesbrough	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:5 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Middlesbrough - Portsmouth	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Derby County - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.02.24	Middlesbrough - Sunderland	1:1
07.10.23	Sunderland - Middlesbrough	0:4
22.01.23	Sunderland - Middlesbrough	2:0
05.09.22	Middlesbrough - Sunderland	1:0
Club Friendly
27.07.18	Middlesbrough - Sunderland	0:0
English League Championship
24.02.18	Sunderland - Middlesbrough	3:3
English FA Cup
06.01.18	Middlesbrough - Sunderland	2:0

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