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Current Win Probability
Watford 6.7%
Draw 13.5%
Manchester City 79.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
8.5%
15.3%
76.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.3%
6.7%
76%
Watford - Manchester City Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 13 - 17.3%). Man City will win (votes: 57 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 66.3% – 85.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Watford has the most likely position - 18 (14.36%), has project points - 38, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Man City has the most likely position - 1 (44.86%), has project points - 86, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a chance of win league (45%).
Watford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Man City in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Man City is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Watford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 6-50.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-19.
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