The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 9.5%
Draw 17.2%
Chelsea 73.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.7%
19.2%
69.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
10.1%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-36.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.2%
4.8%
85%
Watford - Chelsea Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chelsea will win
(125 of 147 users predict this - 85.03%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% โ 90.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Watford has the most likely position - 18 (15.77%), has project points - 38, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Chelsea has the most likely position - 3 (36.05%), has project points - 81, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (96%), has a chance of win league (22%).
Recent matches Watford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chelsea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chelsea is indisputable favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Watford won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.