Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	15:30	SuperSport 5
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	17:30	Idman TV
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	21:30	ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 4
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	15:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free, New World TV
Georgia	17:30	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Match 4
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Kosovo	15:30	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 5
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	07:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 5
Montenegro	15:30	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect, TVWan
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4
Russia	16:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	16:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:30	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	14:30	Sky Sports+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	20:30	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	13:30	Disney+, JioTV app, Onefootball app


	Holstein Kiel		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.58	3.5	2.16
	3.55	3.49	2.16	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.6	2.17	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	3.49 (3.49)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
27.5%

Draw
27.6%

Union Berlin
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

27.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	18.9%	70.3%

Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 4. Erras P. 3. Komenda M. 17. Becker T. (C) 24. Knudsen M. 8. Porath F. 22. Remberg N. 37. Gigovic A. 11. Bernhardsson A. 9. Pichler B.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 2. Vogt K. 4. Leite D. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 36. Kemlein A. 8. Khedira R. 15. Rothe T. 21. Skarke T. 16. Hollerbach B. 7. Vertessen Y.
Substitutes
20. Arp J.-F. 21. Dahne T. (G) 14. Geschwill M. 33. Javorcek D. 18. Machino S. 27. Puchacz T. 23. Rosenboom L. 15. Schulz M. 7. Skrzybski S.	20. Benes L. 19. Haberer J. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 14. Querfeld L. 26. Roussillon J. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 17. Siebatcheu J. 24. Skov R. 10. Volland K.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Svensson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Kemlein A. ⚽, Rothe T. (A),
27', Skarke T. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
34', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Knudsen M. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
66', Komenda M. 🟨,
68', Erras P. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
73', Ronnow F. 🟨,
75', Vertessen Y. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
75', Hollerbach B. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
79', Remberg N. 🟨,
79', Porath F. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
80', Gigovic A. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
87', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Skov R. ↑,
87', Kemlein A. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Rothe T. ⚽, Benes L. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2.

Holstein Kiel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Union Berlin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Union Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Johansson C. (Concussion) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Surgery)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Leg Injury) Tousart L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Prtajin I. (Knee Injury) Volland K. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1.4:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
05.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Holstein Kiel - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
31.08.24	Holstein Kiel - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 TLTLL
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
05.10.24	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Union Berlin - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.23	Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel	1:2
13.11.19	Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel	3:0
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.19	Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin	0:2
25.09.18	Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:0
Club Friendly
26.03.18	Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
23.01.18	Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin	2:2
04.08.17	Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel	4:3

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