Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: London Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	16:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	21:00	RTL
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV4
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	West Ham United		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.85
	3.9	3.8	1.85
	3.95	3.95	1.9	Watch
	4.07	3.98	1.87
	4.04	3.97	1.88
	3.9	3.9	1.83
	4.11	4.03	1.91
	4.1	3.95	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.47)	3.92 ↑ (3.68)	1.87 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
24.1%

Draw
24.5%

Bayer Leverkusen
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Ham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.6%	11.3%	52.1%

West Ham United - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 26 - 36.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 37 - 52.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 40.5% – 63.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabianski L. (G) 5. Coufal V. 4. Zouma K. (C) 27. Aguerd N. 3. Cresswell A. 7. Ward-Prowse J. 19. Alvarez E. 28. Soucek T. 20. Bowen J. 9. Antonio M. 14. Kudus M.	17. Kovar M. (G) 2. Stanisic J. 6. Kossounou O. 4. Tah J. (C) 3. Hincapie P. 34. Xhaka G. 25. Palacios E. 19. Tella N. 10. Wirtz F. 20. Grimaldo A. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
49. Anang J. (G) 42. Casey K. 17. Cornet M. 18. Ings D. 2. Johnson B. 55. Knightbridge J. (G) 45. Mubama D. 21. Ogbonna A. 61. Orford L. 58. Swyer K.	21. Adli A. 8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 22. Boniface V. 30. Frimpong J. 7. Hofmann J. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 38. Izekor K. 36. Lomb N. (G) 32. Puerta G. 12. Tapsoba E.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kossounou O. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Antonio M. ⚽, Bowen J. (A),
29', Kossounou O. ↓, Tapsoba E. ↑,
31', Antonio M. 🟨,
31', Tah J. 🟨,
45+2', Aguerd N. ↓, Ogbonna A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tella N. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
46', Schick P. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
68', Grimaldo A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
72', Bowen J. 🟨,
79', Coufal V. 🟨,
79', Zouma K. 🟨,
84', Coufal V. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
84', Alvarez E. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
85', Palacios E. 🟨,
85', Soucek T. 🟨,
87', Kovar M. 🟨,
87', Wirtz F. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Frimpong J. ⚽,
90', Adli A. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

West Ham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bayer in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Bayer have a series of home games.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

There will not play in West Ham: Earthy G. (Concussion) Emerson (Yellow Cards) Paqueta L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bayer: Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury) Iglesias B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Areola A. (Groin Injury) Bowen J. (Hip Injury) Phillips K. (Thigh Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches West Ham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
14.04.24	West Ham United - Fulham	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.04.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Newcastle United - West Ham United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
14.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.04.24	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.03.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United	2:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United	4:0

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