Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Ham United		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.1
	1.88	3.6	4.3
	1.91	3.65	4.43
	2.03	3.49	3.64	Watch
	1.97	3.66	4.27	Watch
	2	3.55	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3.58 ↑ (3.49)	4.12 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
49.5%

Draw
27%

Burnley
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	15.8%	26.3%

West Ham United - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 22 - 57.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 42.2% – 73.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Burnley (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 6 - 60%). Burnley (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 3. Kilman M. 25. Todibo J. 12. Diouf M. 18. Fernandes M. 32. Potts F. 10. Lucas Paqueta 20. Bowen J. (C) 9. Wilson C. 7. Summerville C.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 24. Cullen J. (C) 16. Florentino 17. Tchaouna L. 8. Ugochukwu L. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
58. Golambeckis A. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 5. Igor 39. Irving A. 17. Luis Guilherme 27. Magassa S. 24. Rodriguez G. 28. Soucek T. 2. Walker-Peters K.	27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 9. Foster L. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Lucas Paqueta 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Wilson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Flemming Z. 🟨,
62', Potts F. ↓, Soucek T. ↑,
67', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
71', Wilson C. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
71', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
71', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Soucek T. ⚽,
81', Anthony J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
81', Hartman Q. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
83', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Igor ↑,
83', Summerville C. ↓, Walker-Peters K. ↑,
86', Walker K. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Walker-Peters K. ⚽,
90+6', Fernandes M. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Cullen J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2.

West Ham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, West Ham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in West Ham: Earthy G. (Thigh Injury) Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Fullkrug N. (Thigh Injury) Mavropanos K. (Injury) Scarles O. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
02.11.25	West Ham United - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Leeds United - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	West Ham United - Brentford	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Arsenal - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Everton - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLLT
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
01.11.25	Burnley - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Burnley - Leeds United	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Aston Villa - Burnley	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Manchester City - Burnley	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
10.03.24	West Ham United - Burnley	2:2
25.11.23	Burnley - West Ham United	1:2
17.04.22	West Ham United - Burnley	1:1
12.12.21	Burnley - West Ham United	0:0
03.05.21	Burnley - West Ham United	1:2
16.01.21	West Ham United - Burnley	1:0
08.07.20	West Ham United - Burnley	0:1

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