Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Lincoln City		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	4	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.49	4.08
	2.01	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.9
	1.88	3.33	4.25	Watch
	1.92	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.19)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	3.99 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
48.7%

Draw
27.8%

Bradford City
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bradford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Lincoln City - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lincoln (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Lincoln (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Bradford (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 17. Street R. 10. Moylan J. 34. Draper F.	1. Walker S. (G) 28. Pennington M. 26. Tilt C. 18. Kelly C. 33. Ashby H. 6. Power M. (C) 21. Metcalfe J. 3. Touray I. 20. Leigh T. 17. Wright T. 11. Humphrys S.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 12. Ring E. 6. Towler R.	15. Baldwin A. 25. Hilton J. (G) 8. Kavanagh C. 7. Neufville J. 23. Pointon B. 30. White J. 4. Wright J.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Draper F. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Street R. (A),
43', Pennington M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wright T. ↓, Kavanagh C. ↑,
52', Reach A. 🟨,
69', Ashby H. ↓, Neufville J. ↑,
69', Pennington M. ↓, Baldwin A. ↑,
69', Leigh T. ↓, White J. ↑,
77', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
77', Moylan J. ↓, House B. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, House B. ⚽, Hamer T. (A),
90', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
90', Reach A. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
90', Draper F. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Lincoln is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bradford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Jackson A. (Surgery) Thorn O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bradford: Powell N. (Inactive) Richards L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Bayliss T. (Inactive) House B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Swan W. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2.7:0).

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bradford City	9	5	2	2	8:5	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
22.01.26	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Luton Town - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	5:2 ✺
01.01.26	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Barnsley - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTW
- Bradford City
English League One
24.01.26	Huddersfield Town - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Bradford City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Blackpool - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Bradford City - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.10.25	Bradford City - Lincoln City	0:0
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Bradford City - Lincoln City	0:3
English League Cup
15.09.20	Bradford City - Lincoln City	0:5

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