Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wigan Athletic		Millwall

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3.1	2.05
	4	3.45	2
	4.08	3.36	2.06
	4	3.1	2
	3.95	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.77)	3.28 ↑ (3.09)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
24.4%

Draw
29%

Millwall
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

30.4%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

29.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	9.1%	86.4%

Wigan Athletic - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: Millwall will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: )).

Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (52.04%), project points - 41, currently - 37, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Millwall has the most likely position - 5 (44.06%), project points - 70, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), a small chance of promoted (14%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 40, small importance 28, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Millwall will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M. (Knee Injury) Kerr J. (Knee Injury) Sinani D. (Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Cresswell C. (Injury) Honeyman G. (Muscle Injury) Wallace M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Burey T. (Hip Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
18.04.23	Stoke City - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Blackpool - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Wigan Athletic - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Sheffield United - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Wigan Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLLW
- Millwall
English League Championship
18.04.23	Millwall - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Millwall - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Hull City - Millwall	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Millwall - Luton Town	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.12.22	Millwall - Wigan Athletic	1:1
22.02.20	Wigan Athletic - Millwall	1:0
26.11.19	Millwall - Wigan Athletic	2:2
05.05.19	Wigan Athletic - Millwall	1:0
23.10.18	Millwall - Wigan Athletic	2:1
English League One
01.03.16	Millwall - Wigan Athletic	0:0
29.09.15	Wigan Athletic - Millwall	2:2

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