Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Jong Utrecht		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.35	4	2.45	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.5
	2.38	3.95	2.52	Watch
	2.41	4.15	2.57
	2.4	4.18	2.45	Watch
	2.3	3.8	2.5
	2.32	4.05	2.5	Watch
	2.3	4.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)	4 ↓ (4.33)	2.49 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
39.6%

Draw
23.2%

Willem II
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

21.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	28.6%	50%

Jong Utrecht - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Willem II will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Willem II (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Willem II (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Willem II (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. van der Wegen S. 3. Viereck N. 14. Kloosterboer P. (C) 5. Plantinga V. 10. Blake A. 8. Agougil O. 6. van Ommeren J. 7. Jensen M. 9. den Boggende T. 11. Demircan E.	1. Didillon T. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 8. Twigt C. 6. Besselink G. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Haen D. 20. El Allouchi M. 28. Verheydt T.
Substitutes
15. Adiele E. 20. Dundas N. 12. El Arguioui R. 31. Eversen J. (G) 16. Ghaddari M. 13. Kooy W. 17. Menzo B. 32. Tsankov M. (G) 22. van den Boogaard B. 21. van Riel J.	23. Abildgaard L. 47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 11. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 41. Kotte T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 46. Scheepens K. 19. van Aalst U. 22. van Loon P. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Otten M.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Besselink G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Demircan E. (Penalty Awarded),
61', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
61', Besselink G. 🟨,
61', Doodeman N. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
63', van der Wegen S. 🟨,
64', Blake A. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
71', den Boggende T. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
75', Besselink G. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
75', Et Taibi A. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
78', Demircan E. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
78', Jensen M. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Jong Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Willem II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Jong Utrecht: 0.31%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Jong Utrecht - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Willem II - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.26	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht	2:2 ✺
19.01.26	Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Utrecht	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTTW?
- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.02.26	Willem II - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Jong Ajax - Willem II	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	FC Eindhoven - Willem II	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Helmond Sport - Willem II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	Willem II - Jong Utrecht	2:1
08.04.24	Jong Utrecht - Willem II	1:1
10.11.23	Willem II - Jong Utrecht	2:1
12.05.23	Willem II - Jong Utrecht	3:0
29.08.22	Jong Utrecht - Willem II	0:0

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