Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday


	Znicz Pruszków		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.3
	2.87	3.2	2.3
	2.95	3.25	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.16	2.46
	3.1	3.16	2.47
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.93	3.22	2.34
	2.95	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.44)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.35 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
31.5%

Draw
29%

Motor Lublin
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.5%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znicz Pruszków's form might have worsened.

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Znicz Pruszków - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mleczko M. (G) 3. Yukhymovych D. 10. Grudzinski M. 47. Blyszko W. 91. Krajewski M. 30. Nowak W. 9. Krocz S. 6. Pomorski K. (C) 7. Wojcicki J. 11. Moskwik P. 18. Nagamatsu S.	1. Rosa K. (G) 68. Wolski B. 4. Szarek P. 18. Najemski A. 47. Palacz K. 37. Scalet M. 22. Wojtkowski K. 77. Ceglarz P. (C) 26. Krol M. 19. Welniak K. 17. Wojcik F.
Substitutes
19. Bojanczyk K. 45. Cegielka M. 27. Flisiuk K. 26. Kendzia F. 12. Misztal P. (G) 8. Proczek T. 22. Tabara K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 46. Wawszczyk J.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 27. Kasprzyk D. 73. Lis J. 24. Luberecki F. 5. Magnuszewski K. 7. Rybicki M. 20. Sedzikowski D. 9. Zebrakowski M.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Feio G.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Znicz won 0.

Znicz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Motor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Znicz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
06.11.23	Chrobry Głogów - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
23.10.23	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.10.23	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.10.23	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
05.11.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Motor Lublin - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Chrobry Głogów - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Motor Lublin - Miedź Legnica	1:3 ✺
29.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.04.23	Znicz Pruszków - Motor Lublin	1:2
04.09.22	Motor Lublin - Znicz Pruszków	0:0
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Znicz Pruszków - Motor Lublin	0:0
Polish Division 2
20.11.21	Motor Lublin - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
31.07.21	Znicz Pruszków - Motor Lublin	1:4
06.03.21	Znicz Pruszków - Motor Lublin	0:1
29.08.20	Motor Lublin - Znicz Pruszków	1:2

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