Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arthur Rinderknech		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	23	1.01	Watch
	12	1.02
	14	1.01
	12.59	1.03	Watch
	12	1.03
	16.6	1.02	Watch
	13	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.74 ↑ (8.1)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
6.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

88.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 30 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 82. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rinderknech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Rinderknech A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWL?
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Reilly Opelka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Sinner J. retired ✺
16.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
20.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0
20.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1

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