Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Australia	9Gem
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Super Tennis
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Ben Shelton		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.00	1.25
	3.83	1.25
	3.93	1.31
	4.31	1.29	Watch
	3.9	1.28
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.9	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.4)	1.27 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
24.1%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Ben Shelton - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Shelton (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 43 Games - over (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 9. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Shelton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 72.49%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Ben Shelton - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Ben Shelton - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Yibing Wu - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Jaime Faria - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	Machac T. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
01.06.25	Ben Shelton - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ben Shelton	2:0
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ben Shelton	2:0

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