Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Learner Tien		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.14	Watch
	1.81	2.15
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.56)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
55.7%

Damir Dzumhur
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Learner Tien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Learner Tien - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 21. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 87.

Recent form of Tien has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dzumhur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Learner Tien - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.26	Learner Tien - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.26	Learner Tien - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Damir Dzumhur - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Emilio Nava - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W?LWL

Upcoming Matches