Match Info

KHL

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: UMMC Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.9	2.39
	2.71	3.92	2.36	Watch
	2.6	4.1	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.97 ↓ (4.25)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
35.3%

Draw
23.8%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

22.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

21.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avtomobilist: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avtomobilist (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
44. Yudin D.	99. Sergeyev A.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)	5. Bereglazov A. (A)
97. Kizimov S.	72. Beryozkin M.
86. Sharov A.	78. Shalunov M. (A)
11. Sprong D.	16. Kayumov A.
Line 2
21. Osipov M.	93. Misyul D.
7. Busygin Y.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
24. Denezhkin M.	70. Surin Y.
81. Romantsev D.	10. Ivanov G.
15. Golyshev A. (A)	90. Polunin A.
Line 3
2. Zborovsky S.	73. Cherepanov N.
69. Pautov Y.	49. Ulyev M.
76. Kashtanov A.	14. Panik R.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)	51. Froese B.
31. Khripunov S.	7. Kiryanov N.
Line 4
91. Malorosiyanov D.	6. Magomedsultanov I.
79. Tarasov M.	91. Alexeyev D.
92. Gorbunov R.	63. Kraskovsky P.
99. Shashkov N.	97. Volkov A.
Substitutes
1. Galkin V. (G)	27. Kuzin A.
	94. Nikulshin N. (G)
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:36, Beryozkin M. (2 min),
12:32, 0 - 1, Shalunov M. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Beryozkin M. (A2)
13:38, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
18:22, 1 - 1, Kizimov S. (G), Sprong D. (A), Busygin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:04, Kraskovsky P. (2 min),
03:13, Sergeyev A. (2 min),
04:18, Osipov M. (2 min),
04:18, Froese B. (2 min),
04:42, 2 - 1, Sprong D. (G), Tryamkin N. (A), Gorbunov R. (A2)
19:34, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
18:06, 3 - 1, Denezhkin M. (G),
18:50, 4 - 1, Sprong D. (G),
20:00, Froese B. (2 min),

Preview

Avtomobilist is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 2.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Avtomobilist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:33. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.6:1.7).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% Yekaterinburg: 6.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
06.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:4 ✺
02.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWWWW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
09.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3 OT ✺
04.03.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 ✺
02.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:5 ✺
24.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
26.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT
20.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3
01.10.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:1 OT
25.02.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:0
27.09.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1
29.01.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1
02.09.22	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:2

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