Match Info
KHLDate: 16 March 2026, MondayLocation: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)
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Severstal Cherepovets |
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Ak Bars Kazan |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.5 |
4 |
2.51 |
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2.39 |
4.01 |
2.64 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
4 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.51) |
4 ↓ (4.3) |
2.47 ↓ (2.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Severstal Cherepovets 39.1% | Draw 23.2% | Ak Bars Kazan 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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29. Samoilov A. (G)
| 20. Arefyev M. (G)
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32. Gregoire T.
| 58. Miller M.
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8. Kaldis Y.
| 7. Falkovsky S.
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90. Chefanov I.
| 95. Galimov A.
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53. Aimurzin D.
| 24. Safonov I.
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99. Ilyin M.
| 17. Barabanov A.
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| Line 2 |
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75. Davydov T.
| 53. Marchenko A. (C)
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21. Kamalov N.
| 89. Karpukhin I.
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23. Liska A. (C)
| 29. Todd N.
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10. Tsitsyura V.
| 94. Semyonov K. (A)
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97. Chebykin N.
| 55. Chmelevski A.
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| Line 3 |
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2. Grudinin V. (A)
| 28. Terekhov S.
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42. Tankov K.
| 96. Lyamkin N.
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81. Kazulayev D.
| 23. Jaskin D.
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6. Ivantsov I.
| 11. Fisenko M. (A)
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12. Skorenov A.
| 14. Denisenko G.
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| Line 4 |
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7. Burenov N.
| 71. Pustozyorov A.
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37. Reingardt I.
| 92. Katelevsky D.
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66. Podshivalov I. (A)
| 15. Brovkin A.
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18. Veryayev D.
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| Substitutes |
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85. Okunev I.
| 82. Bilyalov T. (G)
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1. Shostak K. (G)
| 18. Potapov Y.
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| 13. Zamaltdinov R.
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| Coaches |
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. Kozyrev A.
| . Gatiyatulin A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 12:11, Fisenko M. (2 min),
- 14:22, 1 - 0, Kamalov N. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Chefanov I. (A2)
- 16:58, 2 - 0, Veryayev D. (G), Reingardt I. (A),
- 18:11, 3 - 0, Grudinin V. (G), Kazulayev D. (A),
- 18:11, Arefyev M. ↓, Bilyalov T. ↑,
- 18:53, Todd N. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:01, Bilyalov T. ↓, Arefyev M. ↑,
- 12:51, 3 - 1, Galimov A. (G), Barabanov A. (A),
- 13:02, Kamalov N. (2 min),
- 19:31, 4 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Grudinin V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 10:28, 4 - 2, Pustozyorov A. (G), Marchenko A. (A), Lyamkin N. (A2)
- 12:32, Ilyin M. (2 min),
Preview
Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals) Ak Bars is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.Recent form of Severstal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ak Bars is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. We predict that Ak Bars will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 52:56. (average 2.6:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.9:2.5).
Outrights of KHL for now
Bars Kazan: 6.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| KHL | | | 30.12.25 | Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets | 4:3 penalties | | 30.12.24 | Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets | 2:3 | | 23.11.24 | Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan | 7:5 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 23.08.24 | Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets | 3:0 | | KHL | | | 05.12.23 | Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan | 4:1 | | 03.10.23 | Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets | 1:4 | | 04.01.23 | Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets | 2:1 OT |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;