Match Info
LiigaDate: 27 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Isomäki Areena (Pori)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Ässät |
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JYP |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ässät 43% | Draw 23.2% | JYP 33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Ässät - JYP Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. JYP (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Bednar J. (G)
| 35. Salminen O. (G)
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67. Puutio K.
| 44. Vatanen S. (A)
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80. Nurmi P.
| 63. Bourque T.
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9. Lipiainen V.
| 71. Puustinen J. (A)
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44. Jarvinen J. (C)
| 7. True A.
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78. Fabre D.
| 40. Torgersson D.
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| Line 2 |
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37. Maatta R. (A)
| 31. Peltola E.
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25. Boelius L.
| 29. Winberg T.
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93. Vanhatalo L.
| 77. Tukiainen L.
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74. Tiivola P. (A)
| 28. Lassila J. (C)
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62. Martel D.
| 61. Huovila S.
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| Line 3 |
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8. Viljanen V.
| 18. Jokinen R.
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10. Nilsson O.
| 4. Liikonen V.
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16. Noiva N.
| 39. Ojantakanen V.
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14. Sebok B.
| 14. Perttu M.
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18. Ylitalo O.
| 85. Vayrynen T.
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| Line 4 |
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55. Riihinen P.
| 3. Lehmus J.
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86. Knihti F.
| 2. Pulli J.
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19. Juhola P.
| 17. Makinen O.
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63. Kostilainen S.
| 25. Jormakka P.
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| Substitutes |
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39. Lindberg F. (G)
| 41. Hannikainen O. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Pikkarainen J.
| . Matikainen P.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 02:57, 1 - 0, Juhola P. (G), Knihti F. (A), Riihinen P. (A2)
- 18:31, Nilsson O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 14:56, 1 - 1, Jokinen R. (G), Huovila S. (A), Liikonen V. (A2)
- 19:17, 2 - 1, Jarvinen J. (G), Fabre D. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
- 19:42, Sebok B. (2 min),
- 19:54, 2 - 2, Puustinen J. (G), Lassila J. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:45, 2 - 3, Tukiainen L. (G), Lassila J. (A), Winberg T. (A2)
- 02:24, Lipiainen V. (2 min),
- 10:04, Jokinen R. (2 min),
- 10:07, Knihti F. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 56:48. (average 2.8:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.9:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
JYP - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 22.01.25 | JYP - Ässät | 5:2 | | 05.12.24 | Ässät - JYP | 3:1 | | 09.03.24 | Ässät - JYP | 4:1 | | 19.12.23 | JYP - Ässät | 3:2 penalties | | 13.12.23 | Ässät - JYP | 1:2 OT | | 04.10.23 | JYP - Ässät | 1:4 | | 01.03.23 | Ässät - JYP | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;