Match Info
NRL - Round 19Date: 12 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
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 |
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Newcastle Knights |
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Melbourne Storm |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.3 |
26 |
1.36 |
|
 |
3.4 |
21 |
1.33 |
|
 |
3.3 |
25 |
1.4 |
 Watch |
 |
|
|
|
Watch |
 |
3.5 |
23 |
1.3 |
|
 |
3.52 |
20 |
1.34 |
|
 |
3.9 |
26 |
1.27 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(4.23) |
23.5 ↓
(26) |
1.33 ↑
(1.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Knights
26.6% | Draw
3.9% | Melbourne Storm
69.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:28 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Hunt F.
| 2. Anderson G.
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2.  Young D.
| 3.  Chan J.
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3. Gagai D. (C)
| 4. Meaney N.
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4. Best B.
| 6. Wishart T.
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5. Marzhew G.
| 7.  Hughes J.
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6. Hastings J.
| 8.  Kamikamica T.
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7. Cogger J.
| 10. King J.
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8. Saifiti J.
| 11.  Blore S.
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9. Crossland P.
| 12.  Katoa E.
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10. Thompson L.
| 15. Utoikamanu S.
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11. Lucas D.
| 18. Howarth J.
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12. Pearce-Paul K.
| 21. Grant H. (C)
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13. Frizell T.
| 22. Bradley K.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Brailey J.
| 13. Asofa-Solomona N.
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15. Croker M.
| 14. Pezet J.
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16. McEwen J.
| 17. Lisati A.
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17. Jones B.
| 19. Loiero T.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. O'Brien A.
| . Bellamy C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (8 - 6)
- 10', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Young D. (Try),
- 14', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
- 28', Young D. (Try),
- 29', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
- 39', Katoa E. (Try),
- 40', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (6 - 26)
- 44', Loiero T. (Try),
- 46', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Bradley K. (Try),
- 49', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 59', Loiero T. (Try),
- 60', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Bradley K. (Try),
- 63', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 71', Hunt F. (Try),
- 72', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Katoa E. (Try),
- 77', Pezet J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.Recent performances by Newcastle have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Melbourne is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 294:568. (average 14.7:28.4).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 134:248. (average 14.9:27.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 09.06.24 | Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights | 36:28 | | 24.03.24 | Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm | 14:12 | | 23.02.24 | Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights | 28:10 | | 22.07.23 | Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm | 26:18 | | 01.05.22 | Newcastle Knights - Melbourne Storm | 2:50 | | 17.07.21 | Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights | 48:4 | | 02.08.20 | Melbourne Storm - Newcastle Knights | 26:16 |
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