Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: GGL Stadium (Montpellier)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Montpellier		Ospreys

	1	X	2
	1.2	26	4.75
	1.2	26	4.33
	1.22	27	4.45
	1.21	29.08	4.71	Watch
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.18	23	5.03
	1.22	27	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.25)	26.3 ↓ (29)	4.58 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
76.4%

Draw
3.5%

Ospreys
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

3.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Montpellier - Ospreys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erdocio B.	1. Thomas G.
2. Uelese J.	2. Lake D.
3. Japaridze L.	3. Warren B.
4. Janse van Rensburg N.	4. Spencer W.
5. Duguid T.	5. Jones L.
6. Martins N.	6. Davies T.
7. Nouchi L. (C)	7. Morgan J. (C)
8. Simmonds S.	8. Morris M.
9. Coly L.	9. Hardy K.
10. Hogg S.	10. Edwards D.
11. Tambwe M.	11. Giles K.
12. Cadot A.	12. Williams O.
13. Darmon T.	13. Watkin O.
14. Moustin M.	14. Kasende D.
15. Moorby J.	15. Walsh J.
Substitutes
16. Akrab L.	16. Parry S.
17. Forletta E.	17. Thomas S.
18. Hounkpatin W.	18. Henry R.
19. Chalureau B.	19. Griffiths W.
20. Vunipola V.	20. Greatbanks W.
21. Louwrens R.	21. Morgan-Williams R.
22. Barreau A.	22. Boshoff E.
23. Serfontein J.	23. Hopkins I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 3)
10', Martins N. (Try),
11', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
14', Duguid T. (Try),
15', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
29', Uelese J. (Try),
30', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
34', Edwards D. (Penalty Goal),
37', Coly L. (Try),
2nd Half (33 - 12)
42', Akrab L. (Try),
44', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
51', Moustin M. (Try),
53', Cadot A. (Try),
54', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
62', Forletta E. (Try),
62', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
66', Tambwe M. (Try),
66', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
69', Boshoff E. (Try),
80+2', Giles K. (Try),
80+3', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Montpellier is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montpellier is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 77:61 (average 25.7:20.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 48:26 (average 24:13).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier Hérault RC
Challenge Cup Rugby
06.12.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Montpellier	14:18 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Montpellier	9:6 ✺
23.11.24	Montpellier - Section Paloise	30:3 ✺
02.11.24	Castres - Montpellier	30:26 ✺
26.10.24	Montpellier - La Rochelle	16:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Ospreys Premiership Select
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.24	Ospreys - Lions	30:14 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Zebre - Ospreys	22:17 ✺
26.10.24	Ospreys - Edinburgh	22:13 ✺
18.10.24	Ulster - Ospreys	36:12 ✺
12.10.24	Ospreys - Blue Bulls	19:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
17.12.23	Montpellier - Ospreys	38:5
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.01.23	Ospreys - Montpellier	35:29
17.12.22	Montpellier - Ospreys	10:21

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