Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	AVS		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.53	Watch
	5.4	3.7	1.55	Watch
	6	4.05	1.6
	5.82	4.04	1.58	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.95	4.04	1.63	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↑ (4.95)	3.87 ↑ (3.85)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
16.6%

Draw
24.2%

Vitoria Guimarães
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24.6%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

AVS - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Vitoria Guimarães will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 42. Devenish C. (C) 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas D. 23. Mendonca G. 70. Roni 8. Pedro Lima 11. Akinsola T. 7. Tomane 25. Green A.	27. Charles Silva (G) 66. Strata T. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. II. 30. Nogueira G. 16. Beni 20. Samu (C) 88. Nogueira M. 11. Gustavo 19. Camara O.
Substitutes
27. Algobia A. 20. Duarte D. 24. Kiki 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 14. Perea O. 26. Ponck 33. Santos A. 93. Simao (G)	18. Arcanjo T. 25. Castillo J. (G) 17. Lebedenko O. 2. Maga 6. Mitrovic M. 3. Nobrega M. 7. Oliveira N. 48. Saviolo N. 23. Sousa D.
Coaches
Henriques J.	Lameiras G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Samu (A),
27', 1 - 1, Tomane ⚽, Adriel (A),
31', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
37', Green A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Green A. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
56', Camara O. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
56', Nogueira G. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
65', Rivas D. 🟨,
65', Simao 🟨,
69', Rivas D. ↓, Kiki ↑,
70', Gustavo ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
70', Nogueira M. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
82', Tomane ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
82', Pedro Lima ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
85', Akinsola T. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
90+1', Mendonca G. 🟨,
90+4', Devenish C. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.

There will not play in AVS: Baroan A. (Injury)

There are questionable in AVS: Roni (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AVS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Vitoria Guimaraes: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
03.04.26	Gil Vicente - AVS	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tondela - AVS	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	AVS - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	AVS - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTT
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
03.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
17.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	0:1
Liga Portugal
28.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	4:0
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	1:1
Liga Portugal
01.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	2:0
25.08.24	AVS - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0

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