The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 76.3%
Draw 15.6%
Jablonec 8.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.7%
19.5%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
11.3%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-37.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jablonec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.4%
13.9%
16.7%
AZ Alkmaar - Jablonec Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Jablonec will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 54.3% โ 84.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
AZ is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Jablonec is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Jablonec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
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