Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Abergavenny Town		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	6.6	4.4	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 (6.6)	4.4 (4.4)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abergavenny Town
13.6%

Draw
20.4%

Caerau Ely
66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.1%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Abergavenny Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Caerau Ely have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Ashford J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
78', 0 - 2, Ingram D. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Schwank R. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, McNamara C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Abergavenny Town is Relegated to

Abergavenny Town has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caerau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caerau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Abergavenny Town have a series of guest games.

In this match Caerau is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Caerau to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Abergavenny Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
13.04.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Abergavenny Town	6:0 ✺
01.04.24	Llantwit Major - Abergavenny Town	4:0 ✺
29.03.24	Afan Lido - Abergavenny Town	6:0 ✺
16.03.24	Baglan Dragons - Abergavenny Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Abergavenny Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
16.04.24	Caerau Ely - Abertillery Bluebirds	5:3 ✺
13.04.24	Caerau Ely - Pontardawe Town	3:1 ✺
09.04.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	6:2 ✺
01.04.24	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
29.03.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
29.07.23	Caerau Ely - Abergavenny Town	4:0

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