Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.79	3.5	3.9
	1.81	3.57	4.33	Watch
	1.74	3.4	4.37
	1.79	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	4.05 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
51.4%

Draw
26.1%

Oliveira Hospital
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio Filipe (G) 22. Xico 3. Teixeira R. 54. Ni 90. Vitor Bruno 5. Silva L. (C) 6. Montez A. 23. Saint-Louis J. 21. Pereira F. 17. Hachadi K. 77. Ba-Sy A.	22. Andre Paulo (G) 23. Io S. 8. David Bras (C) 30. Vinhas D. 38. Oliveira M. 3. Simao A. 55. Silva T. 16. Geovanny 19. Michel 11. Neiva G. 9. Gracio D.
Substitutes
8. Carvalho D. 80. Elvis 11. Ferreira G. 25. Freitas R. 16. Gomes V. 10. Lucas Henrique 9. Morais G. 91. Santos B. (G) 13. Serra A.	12. Fajardo R. 71. Fernandes L. (G) 15. Manoel Atanasio 28. Nascimento D. 44. Pablo Veloso 17. Pinheiro L. 18. Souza E. 21. Urco 7. Varela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Ni 🟨,
40', Geovanny 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Pereira F. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
59', Montez A. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Ba-Sy A. ⚽,
78', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Morais G. ↑,
78', Hachadi K. ↓, Ferreira G. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Silva T. ⚽,
87', Silva T. ↓, Souza E. ↑,
87', Gracio D. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
89', Vinhas D. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Oliveira M. (Own goal),
90+6', Ba-Sy A. ↓, Elvis ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Académica won 2.

Académica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oliveira Hospital is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Académica is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Académica to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Académica won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
06.04.25	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	4:2 ✺
16.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTWW
- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
06.04.25	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Caldas - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2
30.11.24	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	2:2
18.08.24	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	1:1
09.12.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	3:2
Portuguese Liga 3
27.08.23	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	1:1
05.03.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	1:0

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