The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arlanda 72.2%
Draw 15.4%
Järfälla 12.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.5%
22.1%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
20.7%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arlanda's performance.
Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Järfälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arlanda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Järfälla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arlanda - Järfälla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 3. Fredricson H. 14. Hansen A. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 19. Rydz S. 8. Yemane Y. (C)
1. Eide B. (G) 28. Abdulle A. 4. Aksoy Y. 27. Bangala D. 19. Dahir K. 23. Danha C. F. 20. Drugge E. 12. Markovski D. 16. Sabery A. 15. Tinnborg H. 9. Wurtz A. (C)
Substitutes
11. Ahmed M. 5. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 16. Drugge J. 30. Karo A. (G) 12. Nyman L. 24. Saeed A.
3. Akdemir N. 7. Fox C. 17. Khalil A. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 6. Saweris P. 30. von Feilitzen E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Tinnborg H. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Kleist L. ⚽,
31', Aksoy Y. 🟨,
41', Hansen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', Norberg C. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Bangala D. ⚽,
60', Charbachi A. ↓, Drugge J. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Abdulle A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Dahir K. ⚽,
76', Norberg C. ↓, Saeed A. ↑,
76', Antholm I. ↓, Carlsson J. ↑,
76', Butros M. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
76', Hansen A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
79', Tinnborg H. ↓, Medhin T N. ↑,
79', Wurtz A. ↓, Khalil A. ↑,
86', Drugge E. ↓, Saweris P. ↑,
86', Markovski D. ↓, Akdemir N. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation: ) and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arlanda won 5.
Arlanda has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Järfälla is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arlanda carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Arlanda in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arlanda against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Sweden
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Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 
Eide B. (G) 
Dahir K. 
Markovski D. 
Nyman L. 
Khalil A. 
Medhin T N. 
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