The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal 68.6%
Draw 19.4%
Norwich City 12%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
21.9%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
13.6%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal's performance.
Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-29.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwich City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.7%
5.8%
6.4%
Arsenal - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arsenal will win
(150 of 171 users predict this - 87.72%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.8% – 92.64%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Arsenal has the most likely position - 8 (8.4%), has project points - 51, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (21.82%), has project points - 34, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.
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