The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Astana 38.1%
Draw 27.3%
Kairat 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
28%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
28.3%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.
Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kairat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Astana - Kairat Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 5. Kazukolovas K. 6. Kasym A. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 8. Basic I. 7. Karaman D. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Islamkhan B. 72. Basmanov S. 81. Karimov R.
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 13. Oksanen J. 6. Sadybekov A. 24. Mrynskiy A. 28. Gual M. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 9. Edmilson
Substitutes
47. Abrayev M. 20. Ahanonu N. 4. Anuarov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 29. Buric N. 93. Condric J. (G) 3. Kalaica B. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 17. Marat D. 21. Merkel A. 45. Miladinovic I. 77. Shomko D.
27. Abish M. 8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 19. Jukkola O. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 22. Mendonsa G. 25. Shirobokov A.
Coaches
Babayan G.
Urazbakhtin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Sadybekov A. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Karimov R. ⚽, Bartolec K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kasym A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
60', Jukkola O. 🟨,
72', Jukkola O. ↓, Mendonsa G. ↑,
73', Edmilson ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
80', Karaman D. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
80', Islamkhan B. ↓, Merkel A. ↑,
85', Basic I. 🟨,
86', Gual M. 🟨,
86', Tapalov E. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
89', Karimov R. ↓, Buric N. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 1.
Astana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kairat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
Kazakhstan
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Seysen M. (G) 
Bartolec K. 
Kazukolovas K. 
Basic I. 
Martynovich A. (C) 
Lucas Africo 
Mata L. 
Oksanen J. 
Gual M. 
Ahanonu N. 
Miladinovic I. 
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