Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 6h 43m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	13:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	22:30	Stan Sport
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	15:30	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	17:30	Toffee Live
Belgium	13:30	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	19:30	Migu
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	14:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	13:30	Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN
Estonia	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
France	13:30	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	19:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	13:30	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	11:30	SÝN Sport
India	17:00	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	18:30	Vidio
Israel	14:30	Sport 1
Italy	13:30	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	20:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	14:30	Gotv
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	19:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	16:30	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	05:30	TNT Sports
Moldova	14:30	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	18:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	12:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	19:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	13:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	14:30	Voyo
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	19:30	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	13:30	Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	13:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	20:30	Coupang Play
Spain	13:30	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	19:30	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	14:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:30	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	18:30	FPT Play


	Aston Villa		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.62
	4.50	4.20	1.68
	4.85	4.3	1.62
	4.96	4.5	1.63
	4.7	4.47	1.68	Watch
	4.95	4.45	1.6
	5.23	4.53	1.66	Watch
	5	4.5	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.43)	4.43 ↑ (4.11)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
19.7%

Draw
21.6%

Manchester City
58.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.2%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

26.5%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	12%	60%

Aston Villa - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Man City will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Man City (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.

Aston Villa arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Man City is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aston Villa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Man City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Man City is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:45 (averaging 0.9:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aston Villa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 9:20 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	7	0	0	19:7	12	21
12	Aston Villa	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 18.82% Aston Villa: 0.7%

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester City - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Aston Villa - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sevilla - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW
- Manchester City
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Manchester City - AEK Athens	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.26	Manchester City - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.05.26	Manchester City - Aston Villa	1:2
26.10.25	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0
22.04.25	Manchester City - Aston Villa	2:1
21.12.24	Aston Villa - Manchester City	2:1
03.04.24	Manchester City - Aston Villa	4:1
06.12.23	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0
12.02.23	Manchester City - Aston Villa	3:1

Upcoming Matches