Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV3+, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Aston Villa		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.29	6.25	8.5
	1.47	4.75	6
	1.28	6.5	9.6
	1.29	6.39	9.89
	1.3	6.01	8.77	Watch
	1.29	5.5	8.5
	1.32	6.42	8.73
	1.28	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.98 ↑ (5.11)	8.69 ↓ (9.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
72.9%

Draw
16%

Red Bull Salzburg
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

18.7%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

18.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	3.6%	17.9%

Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Salzburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (44 of 56 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.82% – 89.32%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 29 - 87.9%). Salzburg (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. (C) 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 53. Hemmings G. 19. Sancho J. 9. Elliott H. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.	1. Schlager A. (G) 37. Trummer T. 23. Gadou J. 44. Schuster J. 13. Kratzig F. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 8. Kitano S. 5. Diabate S. 20. Baidoo E. 19. Konate K. 27. Alajbegovic K.
Substitutes
40. Bizot M. (G) 2. Cash M. 20. Jimoh-Aloba J. 4. Konsa E. 22. Maatsen I. 27. Rogers M. 14. Torres P. 64. Wright J. (G) 51. Young K.	43. Aguilar E. 7. Bischoff C. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 14. Kjaergaard M. 22. Lainer S. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G)
Coaches
Emery U.	Letsch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Konate K. ⚽, Baidoo E. (A),
35', Gadou J. 🟨,
35', Watkins O. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Hemmings G. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
46', Konate K. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Yeo M. K. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
65', 1 - 2, Rogers M. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
66', Onana A. ↓, Konsa E. ↑,
66', Buendia E. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
73', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
73', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Mings T. ⚽, Cash M. (A),
78', Sancho J. ↓, Young K. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Jimoh-Aloba J. ⚽, Young K. (A),
89', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
89', Diabate S. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,

Preview

Aston Villa is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Salzburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Salzburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aston Villa is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) McGinn J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Lainer S. (Foot Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Salzburg	3	1	1	1	3:6	-3	4

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Salzburg: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
25.01.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.01.26	Aston Villa - Everton	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWT
- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Basel	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

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