What is the expert prediction for Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg?

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Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, January 29, 2026)

Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV3+, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Aston Villa		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.29	6.25	8.5
	1.47	4.75	6
	1.28	6.5	9.6
	1.29	6.39	9.89
	1.3	6.01	8.77	Watch
	1.29	5.5	8.5
	1.32	6.42	8.73
	1.28	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.98 ↑ (5.11)	8.69 ↓ (9.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
72.9%

Draw
16%

Red Bull Salzburg
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

18.7%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

16.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	3.6%	17.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 44 - 78.6%). Salzburg will win (votes: 10 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 67.9% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.25 - Salzburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 29 - 87.9%). Salzburg (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. (C) 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 53. Hemmings G. 19. Sancho J. 9. Elliott H. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.	1. Schlager A. (G) 37. Trummer T. 23. Gadou J. 44. Schuster J. 13. Kratzig F. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 8. Kitano S. 5. Diabate S. 20. Baidoo E. 19. Konate K. 27. Alajbegovic K.
Substitutes
40. Bizot M. (G) 2. Cash M. 20. Jimoh-Aloba J. 4. Konsa E. 22. Maatsen I. 27. Rogers M. 14. Torres P. 64. Wright J. (G) 51. Young K.	43. Aguilar E. 7. Bischoff C. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 14. Kjaergaard M. 22. Lainer S. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G)
Coaches
Emery U.	Letsch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Konate K. ⚽, Baidoo E. (A),
35', Gadou J. 🟨,
35', Watkins O. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Hemmings G. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
46', Konate K. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Yeo M. K. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
65', 1 - 2, Rogers M. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
66', Onana A. ↓, Konsa E. ↑,
66', Buendia E. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
73', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
73', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Mings T. ⚽, Cash M. (A),
78', Sancho J. ↓, Young K. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Jimoh-Aloba J. ⚽, Young K. (A),
89', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
89', Diabate S. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,

Preview

Aston Villa is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Salzburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Salzburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aston Villa is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) McGinn J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Lainer S. (Foot Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
25.01.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.01.26	Aston Villa - Everton	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWT
- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Basel	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

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