Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Atalanta		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.57	4.20	5.50
	1.52	4.15	6.1
	1.57	4.6	6.22
	1.57	4.24	5.7	Watch
	1.51	4.2	6.05
	1.6	4.64	5.76
	1.54	4.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	4.37 ↑ (4.08)	5.9 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
61.9%

Draw
21.9%

Venezia
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

17.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Atalanta - Venezia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Atalanta (1.53) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 20th in the Relegation - Serie B).

Atalanta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Venezia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Atalanta for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:1 (averaging 2.2:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atalanta against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.52% Venezia: 0.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Juventus - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.03.25	Atalanta - Venezia	0:0
20.10.24	Venezia - Atalanta	0:2
23.04.22	Venezia - Atalanta	1:3
Coppa Italia
12.01.22	Atalanta - Venezia	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.11.21	Atalanta - Venezia	4:0

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