Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Athletico Paranaense		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.29	3.28	3.36
	2.25	3.28	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.24	3.38	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.13)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
42.1%

Draw
28.7%

Racing
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Athletico Paranaense - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mycael (G) 26. Erick 4. Kaique Rocha 44. Thiago Heleno (C) 88. Christian 6. Fernando 3. Gabriel 28. Cuello 10. Zapelli B. 14. Canobbio A. 9. Gonzalo Mastriani	21. Arias G. (C) 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. 35. Quiros S. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 34. Mura F. 8. Quintero J. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
7. Di Yorio L. 23. Felipinho 15. Gamarra M. 29. Godoy L. 57. Joao Cruz 20. Julimar 61. Leo Derik 24. Leo Linck (G) 22. Madson 43. Marcos Victor 92. Pablo 8. Praxedes	25. Cambeses F. (G) 17. Carbonero J. 6. Colombo N. 19. Elordi J. M. 20. German Conti 44. Gomez F. (G) 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 22. Rodriguez B. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S. 18. Urzi A. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Varini M.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
22', Kaique Rocha 🟨,
26', Gabriel 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Joao Cruz ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Salas M. ↓, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↑,
74', Almendra A. E. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
74', Christian ↓, Praxedes ↑,
74', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Pablo ↑,
80', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
84', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Athletico PR has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.24	Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.09.24	Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama	2:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.24	Athletico Paranaense - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.24	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Racing - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.24	Racing - Huachipato	6:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Torneos De Verano
15.01.20	Racing - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 penalties

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