The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 45.3%
Draw 28.9%
Fluminense 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
29%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.8%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 2. Natanael 40. Vitao 14. Vitor Hugo 36. Pascini K. 15. Castano K. 21. Franco A. 28. Cuello 7. Fred 11. Bernard (C) 19. Reinier
1. Fabio (G) 46. Julio Fidelis 21. Igor Rabello 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 17. Canobbio A. (C) 16. Nonato 94. Otavio 32. Acosta L. 19. Castillo R. 11. Savarino J.
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 9. Cassierra M. 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 10. Gustavo Scarpa 17. Igor Gomes 6. Lodi R. 13. Lyanco 8. Maycon 27. Minda A. 23. Preciado A. 31. Robert (G)
35. Hercules 44. Jemmes 8. Martinelli 29. Millan J. 10. PH Ganso 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 41. Ruan Sales 90. Serna K. 98. Vitor Eudes (G) 34. Wesley Nata
Coaches
Dominguez E.
Marcao
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Franco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', Otavio 🟨,
61', Acosta L. ↓, Hercules ↑,
61', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Reinier ⚽, Cuello (A),
63', 2 - 0, Cuello ⚽,
65', Natanael ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
65', Franco A. ↓, Maycon ↑,
69', Castillo R. 🟨,
70', Cuello ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
70', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
72', Savarino J. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
72', Otavio ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
78', Reinier ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Vitao ⚽, Cassierra M. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
90+1', Julio Fidelis ↓, Jemmes ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fluminense is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Atlético MG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Borbas T.
(Inactive)
Duarte L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Everson
(Inactive)
Perez T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Fluminense: Alisson
(Hip Injury)
John Kennedy
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Knee Injury)
Samuel Xavier
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Ruan Tressoldi
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Fluminense
29
14
9
6
48:36
12
51
7
Atletico-MG
29
12
8
9
39:34
5
44
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Ecuador
Russia
Spain
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Gabriel Delfim (G) 
Castano K. 
Franco A. 
Cuello 
Canobbio A. (C) 
Savarino J. 
Cisse M. 
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