Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN


	Atlético Nacional		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.6
	1.78	3.65	4.6
	1.79	3.74	4.79
	1.73	3.25	4.6
	1.79	3.5	4.7	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.49 ↑ (3.37)	4.65 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
52.9%

Draw
26.9%

Olimpia Asuncion
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

26.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Atlético Nacional - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Olimpia will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Atlético Nacional is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Olimpia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
29.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
26.04.23	Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Envigado - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.23	Atlético Nacional - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
10.04.23	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.04.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.04.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.03.22	Atlético Nacional - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1
24.02.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	3:1

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