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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 23%
Draw 28.3%
Avispa Fukuoka 48.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
26.2%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
23%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ouchi I. (G) 2. Miyabe T. 44. Nonomura T. 5. Tokida M. 40. Higuchi D. 8. Sumida S. 32. Yonehara S. 48. Fujitani S. 10. Kikui Y. 23. Taki Y. 50. Joppu S.
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 47. Hashimoto Y. 4. Inoue S. 44. Moriyama K. 19. Kamekawa M. 14. Tanaka T. 10. Hisashi J. 25. Kitajima Y. 7. Kanamori T. 28. Tsuruno R. 17. Wellington
Substitutes
14. Ando T. 13. Hashiuchi Y. 20. Maeda R. 41. Murakoshi K. 16. Murayama T. (G) 22. Saso K. 15. Yamamoto K. 17. Yamamoto R. 46. Yasunaga R.
18. Iwasaki Y. 8. Konno K. 29. Maejima Y. 88. Matsuoka D. 16. Oda I. 41. Sakata D. (G) 27. Sato R. 30. Shigemi M. 37. Tashiro M.
Coaches
Shimoda M.
Hasebe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Tokida M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Inoue S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sumida S. ↓, Yasunaga R. ↑,
46', Tsuruno R. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
56', Hisashi J. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
56', Kitajima Y. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
64', Kanamori T. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Inoue S. ⚽,
73', Yonehara S. ↓, Yamamoto K. ↑,
81', Taki Y. ↓, Murakoshi K. ↑,
90+4', Wellington 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Higuchi D. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
91', Sato R. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
103', Fujitani S. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
106', Kikui Y. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
106', Tanaka T. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
112', Maejima Y. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Shigemi M. (Pen),
1, Murakoshi K. (Pen),
2, Matsuoka D. (Pen),
2, Ando T. (Pen),
3, Konno K. (Pen),
3, Yasunaga R. (Pen),
4, Wellington (Pen),
4, Yamamoto K. (Pen),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 4.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Matsumoto Yamaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Watch
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Ouchi I. (G) 
Wellington 
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