Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bayern Munich		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.1	12	17	Watch
	1.08	11.5	28	Watch
	1.11	12.02	23.42
	1.11	11.86	21.39	Watch
	1.08	11	21
	1.11	13.5	27	Watch
	1.1	10	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.11)	11.7 ↑ (10.47)	23.4 ↑ (17.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
87.7%

Draw
8.2%

Augsburg
4.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.6%

9.1%

5.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	10.7%	0%

Bayern Munich - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 25 - 89.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 77.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +2.5 - Augsburg (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 9 - 75%). Augsburg (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 19. Davies A. 4. Tah J. 3. Kim Min-Jae 21. Ito H. 45. Pavlovic A. 8. Goretzka L. 17. Olise M. 42. Karl L. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H. (C)	1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 30. Kade A.
Substitutes
20. Bischof T. 38. Chavez F. 47. Daiber D. 11. Jackson N. 30. Kiala C. 6. Kimmich J. 36. Mike W. 10. Musiala J. 1. Neuer M. (G)	9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 38. Gregoritsch M. 14. Keitel Y. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 3. Pedersen M. 21. Ribeiro R. 27. Wolf M.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ito H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Davies A. ↓, Kimmich J. ↑,
61', Karl L. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
63', Kade A. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
74', Tah J. 🟨,
75', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
75', Rieder F. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Arthur Chaves ⚽, Komur M. (A),
79', Goretzka L. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
79', Ito H. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Massengo H. ⚽, Giannoulis D. (A),
85', Arthur Chaves ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
85', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Chavez F. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.

Bayern is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Augsburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Laimer K. (Calf Injury) Stanisic J. (Ankle Injury) Upamecano D. (Illness)

There will not play in Augsburg: Banks N. (Yellow Cards) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:23. (average 2.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:7. (average 3.2:0.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 80.24% Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	16:4	12	11
6	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13:8	5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Bayern Munich - Saint-Gilloise	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
14.01.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3
04.04.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	1:3
22.11.24	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	3:0
27.01.24	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3
27.08.23	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	3:1
11.03.23	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	5:3
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:5

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