Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Belarus	19:30	Sport TV
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	13:30	Xsports
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	13:30	ESPN Premium
China	00:30	Migu
Colombia	11:30	ESPN 2
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 2
Estonia	19:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Georgia	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Match 4
Iceland	16:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	22:00	ZEE5
Italy	18:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	19:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:30	FOX One
Moldova	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Paraguay	13:30	ESPN 2
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	19:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	00:30	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	23:30	AIS PLAY
Turkmenistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	17:30	Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	Bayern Munich		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.25	7	9	Watch
	1.27	7.25	8.00
	1.21	7.4	10	Watch
	1.25	8	10.5
	1.23	8.4	10	Watch
	1.23	7.4	10
	1.26	7.08	9.58	Watch
	1.25	8	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.23)	7.57 ↑ (7.4)	9.51 ↓ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
77.2%

Draw
12.7%

RB Leipzig
10.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.3%

12.8%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Bayern (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Bayern Munich & Yes (1.83) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 11. Brown N. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 34. Saibari I. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 16. Klostermann L. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 10. Gruda B. 20. Reitz R. 21. El Aynaoui N. 6. Banzuzi E. 7. Nusa A. 28. Nkunku C.
Substitutes
8. Bischof T. 23. Boey S. 19. Davies A. 7. Gnabry S. 21. Ito H. 42. Karl L. 44. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J. 26. Ulreich S. (G)	17. Baku R. 3. Esteve M. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 39. Henrichs B. 30. Maksimovic A. 1. Nyland O. (G) 40. Romulo Cardoso 13. Seiwald N.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Pavlovic A. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
34', 3 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Banzuzi E. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
46', Nkunku C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
51', Laimer K. 🟨,
52', 5 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
59', Pavlovic A. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
59', Saibari I. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
59', Laimer K. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
59', Kane H. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
59', Klostermann L. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
60', Nusa A. ↓, Romulo Cardoso ↑,
69', 6 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
71', Reitz R. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
77', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Boey S. ↑,
90+1', 6 - 1, Maksimovic A. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 4.

Bayern is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

RB Leipzig has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The betting markets point to Bayern as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Bayern: Buchmann T. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Guiu M. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bayern: Neuer M. (Foot Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bayern has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:26 (averaging 2.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:14 goals (averaging 2.5:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	22:5	17	14
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	9	12

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 81.23% RB Leipzig: 2.16%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 77.26%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Viking Stavanger - Bayern Munich	3:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Bayern Munich - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWWW
- RB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	RB Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.08.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:1
German DFB Pokal
11.02.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	2:0
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	1:5
22.08.25	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:0
03.05.25	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	3:3
20.12.24	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	5:1
24.02.24	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	2:1

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