The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham City 29.7%
Draw 31.9%
Luton Town 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
30.4%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
30.2%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
47.4%
31.6%
Birmingham City - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Luton will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).
Birmingham has the most likely position - 18 (11.67%), has project points - 55, has currently - 38, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Luton has the most likely position - 4 (14.92%), has project points - 72, has currently - 50, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality45, small importance22, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Birmingham: Bellingham J.
(Abdominal strain)
Campbell T.
(Muscle Injury)
Deeney T.
(Muscle Injury)
Khadra R.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanderson D.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Bradley S.
(Knee Injury)
Freeman L.
(Groin Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Red Card)
Walton J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Roberts M.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
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