Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 4

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33
	1.8	3.75	4.6
	1.85	3.74	4.5
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.79	3.62	4.6	Watch
	1.81	3.75	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.07)	3.59 ↑ (3.11)	4.41 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
52.3%

Draw
26.3%

Plymouth Argyle
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ruddy J. (G) 7. Bacuna J. 5. Sanderson D. (C) 26. Long K. 3. Buchanan L. 9. Hogan S. 34. Sunjic I. 6. Bielik K. 14. Anderson K. 19. James J. 11. Miyoshi K.	21. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 6. Scarr D. 17. Gibson L. 29. Kesler Hayden K. 18. Azaz F. 4. Houghton J. 20. Randell A. 10. Whittaker M. 9. Hardie R. 2. Mumba B.
Substitutes
16. Cosgrove S. 23. Emmanuel M. L. 1. Etheridge N. (G) 20. Gardner G. 35. Hall G. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 27. Khela B. 4. Roberts M. 28. Stansfield J.	25. Burton C. (G) 7. Butcher M. 28. Cundle L. 14. Miller M. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 23. Waine B. 16. Warrington L. 11. Wright C. 19. Wright T.
Coaches
Eustace J.	Schumacher S.

Preview

Birmingham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Plymouth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Birmingham have a series of guest games.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Hall G. (Muscle Injury) Oakley M. (Muscle Injury) Roberts M. (Calf Injury) Roberts T. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Cooper M. (Injury) Galloway B. (Injury) Gillesphey M. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
19.08.23	Bristol City - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Swansea City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWTL
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
19.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Southampton	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Swindon Town - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
08.01.22	Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ET
English League Cup
06.08.13	Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle	3:2 ET

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