The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 41.8%
Draw 22.9%
Luton Town 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
24.6%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
24.9%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Luton will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 25. Conway M. 8. Sheehan J. 27. Rodrigues R. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 9. Kenny J. 20. Cissoko I. 48. Burstow M.
24. Keeley J. (G) 25. Jones I. 16. Odoffin H. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 8. Walsh L. 27. Richards J. 18. Clark J. 54. Palmer K. 32. Lawrence E. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
15. Apter R. 29. Christie C. 22. Dempsey K. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 45. McAtee J. 4. Simons X.
12. Al Hamadi A. 30. Kodua G. 17. Lonwijk N. 14. Morris S. 23. Saville G. 1. Shea J. (G) 6. van den Berg D.
Coaches
Schumacher S.
Wilshere J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Conway M. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 1 - 1, Osei-Tutu J. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
35', Walsh L. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Cissoko I. ⚽, Rodrigues R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Cissoko I. 🟨,
61', Richards J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Odoffin H. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
63', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
63', Palmer K. 🟨,
73', Cissoko I. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
73', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
78', Sheehan J. 🟨,
79', Rodrigues R. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
81', Palmer K. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
81', Andersen M. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
86', Conway M. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
86', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
88', van den Berg D. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Morris S. ⚽,
90+7', Wells N. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 7).
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Luton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Thigh Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Bolton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Outrights of English League One for now
Luton: 6.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Luton
8
3
2
3
16:15
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Bolton Wanderers - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.48%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Bonham J. (G) 
Osei-Tutu J. 
Toal E. (C) 
Sheehan J. 
Rodrigues R. 
Cissoko I. 
Jones I. 
Andersen M. 
Naismith K. (C) 
Palmer K. 
Wells N. 
Gale T. 
Al Hamadi A. 
Lonwijk N. 
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