Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Angola	14:30	Z Sports 2
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	10:30	Canal GOAT, SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	09:30	Disney+
China	21:30	CCTV-5
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	19:30	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	15:30	Arena Premium 2
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	18:30	Medianet
Mexico	07:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 5
Mozambique	15:30	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	21:30	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3.1	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.6
	2.18	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.85	3.23
	2.04	3.93	3.48	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.87	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.9)	3.78 ↓ (3.96)	3.27 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
45.6%

Draw
25.3%

Bayer Leverkusen
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

24%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 5. Bensebaini R. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 7. Bellingham J. 10. Brandt J. 24. Svensson D. 9. Guirassy S. 21. Silva F.	1. Flekken M. (G) 8. Andrich R. (C) 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 42. Culbreath M. 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 35. Kofane C.
Substitutes
41. Albert M. 14. Beier M. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 40. Inacio S. 42. Kabar A. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 49. Reggiani L. 25. Sule N.	17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 21. Lucas 15. Oermann T. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Andrich R. ⚽,
45', Guirassy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kofane C. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
59', Svensson D. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
63', Beier M. 🟨,
64', Sabitzer M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
64', Silva F. ↓, Inacio S. ↑,
74', Tella N. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
74', Culbreath M. ↓, Lucas ↑,
75', Ryerson J. ↓, Kabar A. ↑,
76', Bellingham J. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
90+2', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 2.

Borussia D is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Borussia D will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Yellow Cards) Can E. (Knee Injury) Couto Y. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Mane F. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Quansah J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 48:33. (average 2.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16:9	7	13

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 8% Bayer Leverkusen: 4.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
11.05.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	2:4
10.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
21.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1
03.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
29.01.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	0:2

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